Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Pat Freiermuth

NFL · Player Props

Pat Freiermuth

TE · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 19, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers have been the most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to total 5.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among tight ends.
Pat Freiermuth has posted a whopping 50.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
Pat Freiermuth has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football among TEs, completing a mere 66.5% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.5%) versus TEs since the start of last season (63.5%).
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus TEs since the start of last season, surrendering 7.05 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the NFL.

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