Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Pat Freiermuth

NFL · Player Props

Pat Freiermuth

TE · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to total 5.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among TEs.
Pat Freiermuth has posted a colossal 31.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile among tight ends.
Pat Freiermuth's 28.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 83rd percentile for tight ends.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.
Pat Freiermuth's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 80.0% to 57.8%.
Pat Freiermuth has been among the bottom TEs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.63 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 20th percentile.
The New England Patriots defense has given up the least receiving yards per game in the league (just 24.0) versus TEs since the start of last season.

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