Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Pat Freiermuth

NFL · Player Props

Pat Freiermuth

TE · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to notch 6.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
Pat Freiermuth has notched many more air yards this season (56.0 per game) than he did last season (28.0 per game).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Pat Freiermuth's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 80.0% to 68.4%.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 37.0) versus TEs this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

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