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Pat Freiermuth
NFL · Player Props
Pat Freiermuth
TE · Pittsburgh Steelers
Receiving TD
Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 2, 2022 Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM UTC
NFL Props Pat Freiermuth Receiving TD

Pat Freiermuth Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+278/-476).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -431 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -476.

Favors Over
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.1 plays per game.
  • Pat Freiermuth has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 22.6% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 95th percentile among TEs.
  • Pat Freiermuth has posted a colossal 31.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile among tight ends.
  • Pat Freiermuth's 28.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 83rd percentile for tight ends.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • Pat Freiermuth's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 80.0% to 57.8%.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in the league (57%) to TEs since the start of last season (57.0%).
  • The New England Patriots defense has allowed the 3rd-least touchdowns through the air in football to TEs: 0.22 per game since the start of last season.
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