Parris Campbell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Parris Campbell

NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Giants · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 21, 2023 11:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a giant 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
Parris Campbell has been on the field for 83.3% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 6th-highest Completion% in the league (69.6%) to WRs since the start of last season (69.6%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Parris Campbell's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 73.8% to 52.4%.
The San Francisco 49ers safeties rank as the 8th-best unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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