Parris Campbell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.
Parris Campbell has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (88.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (55.3%).
Parris Campbell's receiving performance has improved this year, notching 2.9 yards per game compared to a mere 1.6 last year.
Parris Campbell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a terrific 76.5% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.