Parris Campbell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+139/-182).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -161 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -182.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts will be starting backup QB Nick Foles in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.3 plays per game.
Parris Campbell has been used less as a potential target this season (87.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (55.3%).
Parris Campbell's receiving skills have gotten better this year, accumulating 3.6 yards per game compared to a measly 1.6 last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64%) versus wideouts this year (64.0%).
The New York Giants have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.