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Parris Campbell

Parris Campbell Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Parris Campbell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Parris Campbell has been less involved as a potential target this season (88.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (55.3%).
  • Parris Campbell's receiving talent has been refined this season, averaging 4.0 yards per game vs just 1.6 last season.
  • Parris Campbell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 77.7% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.1%) vs. WRs this year (62.1%).
  • The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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