Parris Campbell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Parris Campbell

NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 29, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Parris Campbell has been less involved as a potential target this season (88.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (55.3%).
Parris Campbell's receiving talent has been refined this season, averaging 4.0 yards per game vs just 1.6 last season.
Parris Campbell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 77.7% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.1%) vs. WRs this year (62.1%).
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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