Parris Campbell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Parris Campbell

NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (+105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a massive 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 140.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

Parris Campbell has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 131.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, conceding 7.83 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the NFL.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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