Parris Campbell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Parris Campbell

NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+101/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Parris Campbell has accounted for a monstrous 22.6% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 77th percentile among WRs.
The Houston Texans defense has given up the 7th-most receiving yards per game in football (158.0) to WRs since the start of last season.
The Houston Texans pass defense has shown poor efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, conceding 9.44 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.
The Houston Texans safeties grade out as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Colts are a big 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The Colts rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 60.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in the league.
The Houston Texans pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.82 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-least in the league.

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