Parris Campbell Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Parris Campbell

NFL · Player Props

Parris Campbell

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving TD

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Parris Campbell Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+264/-450).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +415 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +264.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Parris Campbell has been among the most reliable receivers in the league, completing a stellar 77.6% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in the NFL (75.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (75.8%).
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers profile as the worst group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most sluggish paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.70 seconds per play.
Parris Campbell has compiled far fewer air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the league). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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