Parker Washington Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Parker Washington

NFL · Player Props

Parker Washington

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Touchdowns

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 3:37 PM EST

Analysis

Parker Washington Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+217/-263).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -2581 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -263.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns defense has surrendered the 7th-most receiving TDs in the NFL to WRs: 1.00 per game last year.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a big 8.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 59.3% of their downs: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Jaguars offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 28.97 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense last year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Cleveland's group of CBs has been exceptional last year, projecting as the 8th-best in the league.

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