Olamide Zaccheaus Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1070/-1429).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Falcons may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush.
A passing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have 129.3 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The Steelers defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) last year.
As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 8th-best in the league last year.
Favors Under
At the moment, the least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (56.8% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Atlanta Falcons.
The Falcons have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier weather this week.
While Olamide Zaccheaus has been responsible for 18.2% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played last year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Atlanta's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game at 9.8%.