Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Olamide Zaccheaus

NFL · Player Props

Olamide Zaccheaus

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Olamide Zaccheaus Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Olamide Zaccheaus's 30.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 22.8.
Olamide Zaccheaus's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 62.5% to 86.5%.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (70.2%) versus wideouts this year (70.2%).
The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks project as the 8th-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (7th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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