Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Olamide Zaccheaus

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2024

Updated Sep 15, 2024 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.27 seconds per snap.
Since the start of last season, the deficient New York Giants defense has given up a staggering 162.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 7th-worst in football.
Since the start of last season, the porous Giants defense has surrendered the 2nd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a colossal 5.43 YAC.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, New York's collection of CBs has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Commanders are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to pass on 50.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Washington's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and rushing stats too low) on account of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier conditions in this game.
With a feeble 3.6% Target% (15th percentile) since the start of last season, Olamide Zaccheaus stands among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.
With a bad 15.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Olamide Zaccheaus rates as one of the weakest WRs in the NFL in the league.