Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Olamide Zaccheaus

NFL · Player Props

Olamide Zaccheaus

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+106/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Olamide Zaccheaus has been much more involved in his team's pass attack this season (15.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (9.6%).
Olamide Zaccheaus has accrued many more air yards this year (42.0 per game) than he did last year (30.0 per game).
The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Olamide Zaccheaus's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 62.6% to 67.1%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends rank as the 10th-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

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