My Account Log Out
 
 
O.J. Howard

O.J. Howard Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
O.J. Howard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Texans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 69.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.
  • O.J. Howard has been among the weakest tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a mere 1.1 receptions per game while grading out in the 20th percentile among tight ends.
  • O.J. Howard's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.8% to 52.8%.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.5%) to tight ends this year (62.5%).
  • The Houston Texans offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™