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O.J. Howard

O.J. Howard Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

O.J. Howard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+185/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -250.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.

The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

O.J. Howard has been among the worst tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a measly 1.2 receptions per game while ranking in the 14th percentile among TEs.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (69%) to TEs since the start of last season (69.0%).

The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers grade out as the 8th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

More O.J. Howard Player Props

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