Nyheim Hines Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Nyheim Hines

NFL · Player Props

Nyheim Hines

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Nyheim Hines Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+121/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 4-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 10th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-least yards in the league (just 94 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the 5th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on just 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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