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Nyheim Hines

Nyheim Hines Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Nyheim Hines Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+134/-183).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -172 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -183.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.

THE BLITZ projects Nyheim Hines to earn 4.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among running backs.

Nyheim Hines's 25.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 18.7.

Nyheim Hines has been among the leading pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.7 receptions per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

Nyheim Hines's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 72.9% to 88.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 4-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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