Noah Gray Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Noah Gray

NFL · Player Props

Noah Gray

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Touchdowns

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Noah Gray Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+733/-809).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Colts safeties rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the Chiefs being a 6-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 52.9% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the projections expect this game (with an average of 26.10 seconds per play) will boast the 4th-fastest tempo on the slate this week.
With a bad 63.6% Adjusted Completion% (4th percentile) since the start of last season, Noah Gray stands among the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to tight ends.
With an awful ratio of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Noah Gray has been among the worst receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to TEs since the start of last season.

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