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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the NFL (64.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

Noah Gray's 21.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 15.0.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Noah Gray's receiving talent has been refined this year, accumulating 2.8 adjusted catches vs a mere 1.7 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 9-point advantage, the Chiefs are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

At the moment, the 7th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Raiders, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.0 per game) this year.

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