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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+116/-152).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 62.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

The Chargers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.7 per game) since the start of last season.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season.

Noah Gray's 83.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents an impressive gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 71.0% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the 9th-best LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

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