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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 68.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Noah Gray's 52.3% Route% this season marks a noteworthy boost in his passing game usage over last season's 38.1% rate.

This year, the shaky Dolphins pass defense has yielded a colossal 79.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 7th-largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Noah Gray's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 83.2% to 74.4%.

The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

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