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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Noah Gray has been used less as a potential target this year (48.7% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (38.1%).

The Packers safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 5.5 points.

At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Packers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.4 per game) this year.

Noah Gray's 77.1% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 83.2% figure.

The Packers pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.7%) versus tight ends this year (69.7%).

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