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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season.

Noah Gray ranks as one of the most effective receivers in football among TEs, averaging a terrific 8.02 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 77th percentile.

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (57.0) versus TEs since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered a staggering 81.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite in this game.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Cincinnati Bengals safeties project as the 8th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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