|
|
Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 68.5% pass rate.The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.Noah Gray ranks in the 75th percentile among TEs this year with an astounding 7.4% of his offense's air yards accumulated.The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Noah Gray's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 83.2% to 71.0%.Noah Gray's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, totaling just 7.36 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.14 rate last year.The 49ers defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 39.0) versus tight ends this year.This year, the fierce 49ers defense has yielded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a feeble 6.8 yards.When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
