My Account Log Out
 
 
Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Noah Gray has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (15.0 per game) than he did last season (2.0 per game).
  • Noah Gray's 12.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 3.5.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 9th-least in football.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (63%) versus TEs this year (63.0%).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™