Noah Fant Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · New Orleans Saints

Touchdowns

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 7, 2026 8:52 PM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+682/-870).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The model projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 135.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Saints have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Noah Fant ranks in the 92nd percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an outstanding 0.60 per game.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Saints are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Noah Fant's 72.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a remarkable reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 89.3% rate.
This year, the stout Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered a paltry 67.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-best rate in the NFL.

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