Noah Fant Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · New Orleans Saints

Touchdowns

New Orleans Saints vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 11:27 AM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+809/-900).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Saints are expected by the projection model to call 67.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a staggering 61.7 per game on average).
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
Noah Fant grades out in the 96th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.75 per game.

Favors Under

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.9% pass rate.
While Noah Fant has received 13.6% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in New Orleans's pass game near the end zone in this contest at 7.8%.
Noah Fant's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 89.3% to 68.1%.
This year, the formidable Steelers defense has given up a puny 66.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-lowest rate in football.

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