Noah Fant Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · New Orleans Saints

Touchdowns

New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+669/-733).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 58.4% rate of passing the ball near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in this setting has been the Saints.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Saints are predicted by the projection model to run 65.4 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a massive 61.6 per game on average).
Noah Fant has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game).
Noah Fant's 18.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 12.8.

Favors Under

While Noah Fant has earned 15.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of New Orleans's offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 8.5%.
Noah Fant's 68.5% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a material drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 89.3% mark.

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