Noah Fant Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

My Account Log Out

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 1d 13:27:52 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · New Orleans Saints

Touchdowns

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 5, 2026 7:02 PM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+545/-641).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 62.6% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football in this setting has been the Saints.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.0 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Noah Fant's 19.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 12.8.

Favors Under

While Noah Fant has received 15.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much less involved in New Orleans's offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 7.8%.
Noah Fant's 67.4% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a material reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 89.3% mark.
The Falcons defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest touchdowns through the air in football to TEs: 0.30 per game since the start of last season.

More Noah Fant Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow