Noah Fant Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Saints are predicted by the projection model to run 65.4 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a massive 61.6 per game on average).
Noah Fant's 18.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 12.8.
The New York Giants pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (80.2%) vs. TEs this year (80.2%).

Favors Under

Noah Fant's 68.5% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a material drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 89.3% mark.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, New York's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 6th-best in football.