Noah Fant Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 1:55 AM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+116/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to notch 4.1 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.2 plays per game.
Noah Fant has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (50.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (76.4%).
Noah Fant's play as a receiver has diminished this year, compiling a measly 2.5 yards per game vs 4.2 last year.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (53.5%) vs. TEs this year (53.5%).
The New Orleans Saints safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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