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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+116/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to notch 4.1 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.2 plays per game.
  • Noah Fant has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (50.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (76.4%).
  • Noah Fant's play as a receiver has diminished this year, compiling a measly 2.5 yards per game vs 4.2 last year.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (53.5%) vs. TEs this year (53.5%).
  • The New Orleans Saints safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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