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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks

Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+148/-192).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +148 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to total 4.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among TEs.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Completion% in football (78.2%) to tight ends this year (78.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.

Noah Fant has been a less important option in his offense's air attack this year (12.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (18.5%).

Noah Fant's receiving performance has worsened this year, totaling just 2.9 yards per game vs 4.2 last year.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebackers project as the 9th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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