Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 11:27 AM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-103/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Saints are expected by the projection model to call 67.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a staggering 61.7 per game on average).
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
This year, the poor Steelers pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 78.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 8th-highest rate in football.

Favors Under

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.9% pass rate.
Noah Fant has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 51.9% of snaps compared to just 37.9% last year.
Noah Fant's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 89.3% to 68.1%.
Noah Fant's 6.1 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a significant decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 7.7 rate.
The Steelers safeties profile as the 10th-best collection of safeties in football this year in defending receivers.

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