Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-104/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Saints are predicted by the projection model to run 65.4 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a massive 61.6 per game on average).
Noah Fant has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game).
Noah Fant's 18.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 12.8.
The New York Giants pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (80.2%) vs. TEs this year (80.2%).

Favors Under

Noah Fant's 68.5% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a material drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 89.3% mark.
Noah Fant's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, accumulating just 6.18 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.71 figure last year.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, New York's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 6th-best in football.