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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Seahawks, who are -6-point underdogs.

Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Noah Fant has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (68.8% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (52.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (just 54.8 per game on average).

The Seattle offensive line grades out as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all air attack stats across the board.

Noah Fant's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 75.3% to 65.6%.

Noah Fant's receiving efficiency has worsened this year, accumulating just 6.26 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.94 figure last year.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Lions defense has given up a measly 66.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 2nd-best rate in football.

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