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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.3% pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Noah Fant has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (67.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (52.2%).

Noah Fant has posted a colossal 21.0 air yards per game this year: 76th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Noah Fant has posted significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (27.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.

The Seattle offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

The New York Jets defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 39.0) vs. TEs this year.

This year, the formidable New York Jets defense has given up the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a paltry 6.7 yards.

The Jets linebackers profile as the 9th-best group of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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