Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 2, 2023 11:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
Noah Fant has been an integral part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 11.6% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 77th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Noah Fant has accumulated a staggering 25.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Noah Fant has been among the best pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 30.0 yards per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
The New York Giants pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.9%) vs. tight ends this year (64.9%).

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