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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.6% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.38 seconds per snap.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to earn 4.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among TEs.
  • Noah Fant's ability to generate extra yardage has been refined this season, accumulating 6.97 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 4.10 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Noah Fant has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing game this season (12.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (18.5%).
  • Noah Fant has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
  • Noah Fant has totaled significantly fewer receiving yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (67.3%) to TEs this year (67.3%).

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