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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+382/-788).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +407 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +382.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Noah Fant has totaled a whopping 34.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among TEs.
  • Noah Fant's 36.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 89th percentile for TEs.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.1 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to be a less important option in his team's passing game near the goal line this week (17.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (23.0% in games he has played).

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