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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

Noah Fant Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+273/-463).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +274 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +273.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Noah Fant has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 12.5% this year, which puts him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.

Noah Fant has been among the best possession receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in an impressive 78.7% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.

The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 8th-worst unit in football this year in pass coverage.

The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.

Noah Fant has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).

Noah Fant's 25.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 37.1.

More Noah Fant Player Props

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