Noah Fant Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+246/-408).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +300 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +246.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.38 seconds per snap.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
Noah Fant has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
Noah Fant's 25.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 37.1.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (67.3%) to TEs this year (67.3%).
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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