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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Nico Collins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+112/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by the projections to call 66.8 offensive plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (36.5 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Our trusted projections expect Nico Collins to accrue 8.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
  • As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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