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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 132.0 total plays run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Texans have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.
  • The Chicago Bears defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (37.0 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Our trusted projections expect Nico Collins to notch 7.7 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
  • In regards to air yards, Nico Collins grades out in the lofty 87th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 84.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The Texans rank as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 52.1% pass rate.
  • Since the start of last season, the formidable Bears defense has allowed a measly 133.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 9th-best in the league.
  • Since the start of last season, the formidable Bears defense has allowed the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a meager 7.6 yards.
  • The Bears linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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