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Nico Collins

Nico Collins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 77.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Texans as the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 133.2 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week's contest, Nico Collins is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 88th percentile among wideouts with 7.8 targets.

Nico Collins has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 23.8% last year, which ranks him in the 88th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense last year: 7th-fewest in football.

The Colts defense has allowed the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 130.0) to WRs last year.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.71 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

More Nico Collins Player Props

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