Nick Westbrook Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing an impressive 71.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile among WRs.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has conceded the 10th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.9%) vs. wideouts this year (68.9%).
The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have used play action on 30.3% of their passing plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 50.5 plays per game.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 62.9% of snaps vs just 52.1% last season.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.