Nick Westbrook Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Nick Westbrook

NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 17, 2022

Updated Dec 30, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+190/-250).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +300 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans will be starting backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been less involved as a potential target this year (80.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (57.6%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 71.6% to 59.3%.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (64.8%) to wide receivers this year (64.8%).

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