Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Nick Westbrook

NFL · Player Props

Nick Westbrook

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
Nick Westbrook's 61.0% snap rate this season represents a significant diminishment in his offensive volume over last season's 73.1% mark.
Nick Westbrook has notched quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (36.0) this year than he did last year (25.0).
Nick Westbrook's 72.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a noteworthy progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 57.6% rate.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62%) vs. wideouts this year (62.0%).

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