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Nick Westbrook

Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Nick Westbrook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
  • Nick Westbrook's 61.0% snap rate this season represents a significant diminishment in his offensive volume over last season's 73.1% mark.
  • Nick Westbrook has notched quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (36.0) this year than he did last year (25.0).
  • Nick Westbrook's 72.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a noteworthy progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 57.6% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62%) vs. wideouts this year (62.0%).

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